Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000611 0.000703 0.000800 0.000912 0.001035 0.001167 0.001318
2025-02-16 0.000465 0.000590 0.000734 0.000908 0.001114 0.001346 0.001628
2025-02-23 0.000393 0.000533 0.000701 0.000914 0.001176 0.001482 0.001864
2025-03-02 0.000338 0.000488 0.000675 0.000922 0.001235 0.001612 0.002096
2025-03-09 0.000282 0.000432 0.000628 0.000895 0.001244 0.001676 0.002243
2025-03-16 0.000237 0.000385 0.000585 0.000868 0.001248 0.001730 0.002376
2025-03-23 0.000208 0.000356 0.000564 0.000866 0.001282 0.001820 0.002556
2025-03-30 0.000184 0.000331 0.000545 0.000865 0.001316 0.001910 0.002734
2025-04-06 0.000162 0.000306 0.000523 0.000856 0.001336 0.001981 0.002889
2025-04-13 0.000140 0.000279 0.000496 0.000839 0.001343 0.002032 0.003017
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000270 0.000496 0.000859 0.001402 0.002155 0.003244
2025-04-27 0.000119 0.000259 0.000489 0.000869 0.001447 0.002259 0.003448
2025-05-04 0.000103 0.000237 0.000466 0.000852 0.001453 0.002310 0.003580
2025-05-11 0.000089 0.000217 0.000443 0.000834 0.001454 0.002354 0.003704
2025-05-18 0.000082 0.000208 0.000438 0.000844 0.001499 0.002460 0.003917
2025-05-25 0.000074 0.000198 0.000431 0.000851 0.001537 0.002558 0.004119
2025-06-01 0.000063 0.000180 0.000406 0.000825 0.001525 0.002579 0.004211
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.000162 0.000382 0.000800 0.001510 0.002595 0.004296
2025-06-15 0.000048 0.000153 0.000372 0.000798 0.001533 0.002669 0.004466
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000145 0.000363 0.000797 0.001557 0.002745 0.004640
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000135 0.000351 0.000789 0.001568 0.002800 0.004783
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000124 0.000335 0.000773 0.001565 0.002833 0.004893
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000122 0.000337 0.000791 0.001621 0.002960 0.005148